Do you have any evidence of this? I don’t think there have been a lot of high profile departures in the past few years.

Every single xAI exec left...

Same with most top Tesla execs since he changed political sides.

That's pretty high turnover for a company with RSU's tying people in seats

We're talking about SpaceX, not Tesla or xAI, which only very recently joined SpaceX.

Ok I’ll try:

Starship becomes “fully and rapidly reusable”, needing little to no refurbishment between launches. Then the lower bound of launch costs is just the expendables (methane, oxygen, nitrogen) which could cost as little as $1M per launch.

SpaceX uses custom silicon (produced by “TeraFab”) that can run at higher temperatures then the radiative cooling requirements goes down significantly and a 100 kW satellite might weight around 1 ton.

Starship should be able to launch at least 100T payload. Assuming they could fit that many, that puts the launch cost per 100 kW at $10,000, which is a rounding error compared to the cost of the chips alone, even if it’s off by a factor of 10.

Obviously a lot needs to go right for this to happen, but it’s not impossible.

Counter argument:

Before the cost of flying very heavy shit and dealing with all the problems of operating that shit in space goes to zero, the cost of doing it terrestrially will go to zero. The idea that shooting any amount of payload into space could some how be more economical than just not doing that is completely bonkers and laughable.

It's like people completely forgot that there was 15+ years of connectivity infrastructure build out on earth before Musk did his shittier space version, not the other way around.

Transport doesn't "go to zero." Terrestrial transportation is already fully reusable, so it doesn't have the same cost headroom for improvement vs orbital launch.

Thanks, I really needed this post. I'm saving this for when people inevitably try to re-write history by saying "we didn't need Elon, because did anyone really doubted space-based AI would be the winner?? It was obvious all along because blah blah... <insert 20/20 hindsight>"

You thought you made an actual counter argument there?

This is one of those things as a pedantic technologist I've had to accept, like DJs referring to USB thumb drives they store their music on as "USBs".

Casual use is one thing, but this is documentation so I hold it to a higher standard…

The vast majority of Starlink satellites do have laser interconnect now. They started launching them in 2021 or 2022 I believe.

I feel like we need a distributed system/protocol that allows people to have pseudonyms not linked to their real identity, but with a shared reputation/trust score, so if you’re a bad actor using a pseudonym your real identity and all your other sock puppets are penalized too.

I know very little about this but sense that some combination of buzzwords like homomorphic encryption, zk-snarks, and yes, blockchains could be useful.

Of course this would present problems if any of your identities were ever compromised and your reputation destroyed.

Driving everything by reputation-weighted identities just creates echo-chambers you then cannot escape.

The most useful time for the blowhard spout off at me is at the moment it makes me most uncomfortable. Because the blowhard probably has a valid point at some level, he’s just being an ass about it.

When we meet that moment with discipline, are able to identify and respond to the kernels of truth and ignore the chaff belted out, focus on the merits of the argument irrespective of the source of an adversarial viewpoint, we thrive.

I like the blowhards just the way they are, unruly and insolent.

Enjoy it while it lasts.

Is it really that amazing? It’s a pretty simple idea, and seemed pretty buggy when I tried it out.

Does any credible approach to prompt injection even exist?

Anyone who figures out a reliable solution would probably never have to work again.

Not that I'm aware of, but I probably won't be interested in these kinds of assistants until there are.

Don’t forget “Moltbot” between “Clawdbot” and “OpenClaw”!

I think that named lasted about 24 hours, but it was long enough to spawn MoltBook.