As an ignoramus to these things.... there are only just so many Googles though. Having made a significant jump, are they really expected to continue that growth?
The bet is that demand for AI tokens will continue to grow exponentially. And that SpaceX will be able to deploy and rent out GPUs to serve those tokens faster than anyone else.
The wrinkle is that they are planning to deploy those GPUs in space. That’s what people are most skeptical about, I think!
Space data centers need years of time to design, build, and deploy, 5-10 at least, and that's after they solve their multiple very difficult or impossible problems. How will they cool them? There are just simple ideas like giant structures to radiate the heat away, but you say you need to put lots of mass in orbit?
Well yes it will be hard, and hence maybe not economical, and that’s why many people are skeptical of the business case (myself included btw).
But satellite cooling already exists (Starlink v2 satellites dissipate heat at over a kilowatt I believe), so that’s why other people find it plausible.
SpaceX already has 10,000 satellites on orbit that are basically preview versions of space data centers. They've already paid 5 years of that 5-10 year timeline you outlined.
the math doesn't work. a starlink satellite has ~10kw power consumption. A single ai optimized server rack (GB300) is 140kw. Starlink works because you get a massive benefit from putting networking in space for rural users. no one has made a convincing case as to why putting a data center in space is a benefit that can come anywhere near the drawbacks (inability to service, launch cost, cooling etc)
They also need Starship at minimum, which is now a 10+ year old project still exploding regularly.
Starship is at minimum a 2030 project at this point.
And even producing the volume of chips needed for the type of growth space data centers would need to have to justify this would be another decade if construction started now on those fabs.
Google and friends continue to see increased demand for their wares. The bet is probably that SpaceX is one of the best-placed companies to deliver incremental compute. They've shown they can build data centers fast.
Considering that most of the rules states would introduce would run a foul of interstate commerce, it seems like a good way to get ahead of pointless lawsuits.
Note that these rules apply to the development of AI, not any restriction on how it is used in e.g. schools, communications etc.
Interstate commerce has been redefined to mean both way less and way more than the phrase might seem to imply. States can for example introduce rules on emissions when no cars are manufactured in that state.
Does the interestate commerce clause preclude state laws pertaining to implementation and usage?
For example, can a state outlaw public plate/facial recognition cameras, or usage of social network data and AI by local police?
You could still buy AI, but The People decided you can't use it on the public for anything and everything just because big tech profits.
Or has that become the point of the interstate commerce clause, that big companies can maximize profits in cooperation (lobbying) with one federal government, instead of being inconvenienced with the laws of fifty states, in this the richest country of the world?
Don't forget llama.cpp came about when meta released the weights to their LLaMa LLM. They've been in the game for awhile, just not anywhere near the top of the score board since.
Enterprise, of course. They probably buy more PCs than the rest of the market combined.
Even for personal use, I'd imagine the amount of people dual booting Windows and something else are a very tiny minority.
Saying "Windows PC" is a pretty reasonable way to distinguish between "made by Apple" and "made by someone else" because the market of PCs that aren't made by Apple and don't come with Windows is really, really tiny.
To be honest, this seems like a strange hill to take such an aggressive stance upon.
How about Dad! I use them to film my toddler doing cute things without having to pull out the phone constantly and being more present. It'd be nice if people didn't call me names for doing so :)
Buy a proper camera. Your memories will be a lot higher quality and you'll go from creepy guy uploading toddler footage for Zuck to watch to someone who loves their kid enough to run a real camera.
Parents have enough to carry around just because you don’t like a feature that is default off unless you ask for cloud analysis.
I don’t care what happens to Zuck, cancel him to all hell for all I care but maybe be a little more curious about why people use the tech they do past “people are stupid”.
I'm a parent of two, one of whom is a baby. I rock a Sony zv-e10ii.
Image quality is real. That glasses camera is teeny tiny. At the most basic layer, it's going to look like a bad camera from decades ago by the time your kids are old enough to want to see those photos.
Fine in the crib, out in the open at a critical moment when your kid runs into your arms, screw image quality, you want that moment captured and with active kids there's about 2-3 of these moments every day. "the best camera is the one you have with you".
If I don't like something about my hot frog pot, I'll just switch to the Apple glasses when they come out [1] ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ . Zuck doesn't have much room to maneuver without shooting himself in the foot.
My larger point stands, not all who wear cameras deserve to be maligned.
I feel like "the upside of the privacy invasion glasses is that parents can have induced videographer anxiety where they once would have had to suffice with memories, how horrible" is not compelling.
I wouldn't malign you, but if you were a close friend I'd probably approach it in the same way I approach friends who are getting a little too deep into gacha or gambling or funko pop "collecting".
High school grades are not evenly applied, and sometimes heavily inflated. Eliminating that variable is the whole point behind taking a standardized test.
They look at "life experience" factors. Grades, of course, but also extracurricular activities such as school clubs, volunteering, activism, socioeconomic background and so forth.
The aim was to include as many varieties of these factors as possible in the student population to boost diversity without directly referencing skin color (which would be illegal).
There's a lot of antipathy towards standardized tests as things that disadvantage kids who don't test well, despite it being much cheaper and less time intensive to prepare for the test than it is to join a bunch of clubs and spend your weekends volunteering.
It turns out that removing the standardized testing requirement led to a lot of students wasting their money on courses that they weren't at all prepared to take.
Something as simple as adding a stick of RAM might be worthwhile, but some upgrades will take more money in salary (you and the person whose computer you're working on) than the upgrade is actually worth. This is especially true if you replace several components one at a time in a what would otherwise be a single replace cycle.
This is especially true if the business is writing down the replaced hardware as depreciated capital, compared to say simply adding a stick of RAM.
OP mentioned being told he was just worrying by a psychiatrist. They're used to seeing all sorts of psychosomatic issues caused by stress and anxiety. The old 'think horses not zebras' puts blinders on, especially when there's also claims that the US health system over-tests for things.
I told my gastro that I was on a very restricted diet. I had lost a ton of weight from not being able to swallow food and though it was related to Celiac or food allergies, and they really didn't listen to what I was saying. The psychologist told me that I was "so worried about gluten that I was starving myself", which was quite offensive, actually. I had been in phsyical pain every day for months and went from 180 lbs to 120 (at 5'10") until I found a liquid diet that worked for me and regained weight. I had no idea carbohydrates were an issue.
It is. I don’t have opened up to the wide internet, but it’s still super convenient to have it on my tailnet, which all my other devices are on, so I can review and manage repos wherever I am, while operating with the privacy of a self-hosted GitHub-like experience.
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